The Elephant in the Room– good news for Progressives

May 7, 2007

Elephant
As Bush Hits an All-Time Low, there is tons of good news in this recent Newsweek article.

EVERY TOP TIER DEMOCRAT NOW BEATS ALL 3 TOP REPUBLICANS NATIONALLY!!!

That’s right. Edwards beats Rudy, beats Romney, beats McCain. Obama beats all three. Hillary beats all three. 60% of Republicans are unhappy with their candidates. Dems are overall pleased….

A few snippets:

The last president to be this unpopular was Jimmy Carter who also scored a 28 percent approval in 1979. This remarkably low rating seems to be casting a dark shadow over the GOP’s chances for victory in ’08. The NEWSWEEK Poll finds each of the leading Democratic contenders beating the Republican frontrunners in head-to-head matchups.

I love Jimmy, but Bush can’t be pleased about that comparison. And this:

Like Obama, Edwards defeats the Republicans by larger margins than Clinton does: the former Democratic vice-presidential nominee outdistances Giuliani by six points, McCain by 10 and Romney by 37, the largest lead in any of the head-to-head matchups. Meanwhile, Sen. Clinton wins 49 percent to 46 percent against Giuliani, well within the poll’s margin of error; 50 to 44 against McCain; and 57 to 35 against Romney.

Yes, it’s early, but I’m much happier being a Democrat now than I would be as a Republican.

But, I do still want Gore in the race. Does anyone doubt that this isn’t a means to gather names for a netroots appeal once he’s in?

Buy his book, The Assault on Reason, out in 2 weeks. This book tour has to be the opening salvo. Do the tour, lay low, then hit the media again for the Live Earth concerts, win the Nobel Prize, then get in to the race in the early fall…..

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A progressive campaign from the right? Nope, just Republican values (again)

January 13, 2007

What if this guy is in the race?
Chuck Hagel
Many people, some on this blog, probably believe that Chuck Hagel (R-NE) could not get out of the primary. But I’m not so sure.

But lets change the scenario a little. What if the McCain Doctrine shows increased casualties to such a degree that his electability is vertually zero (see The war within Sen. McCain for a discussion from McCain on how his push for the escalation could end his presidential candidacy)? What if as primary season goes on, as suggested by anoodle here and discussed in his stolen playbook, Giuliani suffers significantly from his moderate views on social issues? What if Romney cannot make people understand the Mormon religion? What if Brownback is seen in the same light as HRC by the left as unelectable?

If I’m Chuck Hagel, I’m considering a strong run for President. This Newsweek article suggests that the one reason why Hagel will not get out of the primary is because of the nature of the Republican party in rewarding the guy whose turn it is next. But as the article suggests, with the available candidates and an unpopular war, the Republican party might revert back to its core issues.

This presents a problem for the Dems, in my mind. Hagel is with the Democratic plan of scaled re-deployment and negotiating with Syria and Iran on a diplomatic level. He has supported tax cuts. He has succeeded with small business in Nebraska. He is socially conservative. Where this Republican was effectively ostracized two years ago, he could be the prodigal son come home to keep Republicans in the White House. Or, he could be a distant fourth behind the big three.