What if this guy is in the race?
Many people, some on this blog, probably believe that Chuck Hagel (R-NE) could not get out of the primary. But I’m not so sure.
But lets change the scenario a little. What if the McCain Doctrine shows increased casualties to such a degree that his electability is vertually zero (see The war within Sen. McCain for a discussion from McCain on how his push for the escalation could end his presidential candidacy)? What if as primary season goes on, as suggested by anoodle here and discussed in his stolen playbook, Giuliani suffers significantly from his moderate views on social issues? What if Romney cannot make people understand the Mormon religion? What if Brownback is seen in the same light as HRC by the left as unelectable?
If I’m Chuck Hagel, I’m considering a strong run for President. This Newsweek article suggests that the one reason why Hagel will not get out of the primary is because of the nature of the Republican party in rewarding the guy whose turn it is next. But as the article suggests, with the available candidates and an unpopular war, the Republican party might revert back to its core issues.
This presents a problem for the Dems, in my mind. Hagel is with the Democratic plan of scaled re-deployment and negotiating with Syria and Iran on a diplomatic level. He has supported tax cuts. He has succeeded with small business in Nebraska. He is socially conservative. Where this Republican was effectively ostracized two years ago, he could be the prodigal son come home to keep Republicans in the White House. Or, he could be a distant fourth behind the big three.