Memo To HRC: We’ve got trouble…with a capital “T” that rhymes with “E” that stands for Edwards… oh and a few more.

Iowa

In a poll conducted by KCCI-TV in Iowa among likely caucus goers during December 18-20, HRC faces an uphill challenge.

The basics (truncated from Real Clear Politics)…

John Edwards 22%
Barack Obama 22%
Tom Vilsack 12%
Hillary Clinton 10%

In a match-up to the Republican nominee, HRC only beats Mitt Romney – but Romney also loses to Kerry and Gore.

This might suggest the problems with HRC as electable in a general election and interestingly the fact that Democrats are coming to that understanding now.

Does HRC still enter looking at these numbers?

By the way, where HRC had been clearly ahead of all contenders in New Hampshire, look who caught up spending only 5 days there in December.

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3 Responses to Memo To HRC: We’ve got trouble…with a capital “T” that rhymes with “E” that stands for Edwards… oh and a few more.

  1. johncos says:

    To be completely honest, I don’t think Hillary was ever going to put any serious campaign forward to win Iowa. She is going to make her stand in Nevada and New Hampshire where she leads in both polls.

    A poor showing in Iowa will eliminate two or three weaker contenders and after a win in NH and NV (or even a strong 2nd in NV) the race will most likely be a three way run going into SC and the rest of the Southern states. Obama can do will if he has strong seconds in both of the early primaries (although we need to remember that of the Big 3 he is the only one who may not run). As i’ve stated before, this year more than any in the past is probably going to come down to Super Tuesday.

  2. anoodle says:

    I think that only works if HRC has a huge lead in NH and Nevada going into Iowa. If those races are close, it’s feasible that the winner in Iowa could be catapulted to the front of the pack, a la Kerry in 2004. Yes, Super Tuesday will be more important, but there’s nothing worse for a candidate than losses, and if she loses Iowa, she better be sure she wins huge in NH & NV otherwise, the 2nd place finisher in NH could spin it….

    I still believe her biggest threat is Gore…..

  3. […] CNN Analyst Bill Schneider has an article up on CNN.com about something we’ve been talking about a little bit here […]

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