So, just like that, the polls in Iowa have shifted drastically. What it means is debatable, but one thing is for certain: Hillary needs to get off her duff soon or else she’s going to have serious problems. It’s very clear that Democrats are hungry for a new, exciting candidate with a clear, compelling message for change.
There are lots of interesting nuggets in the poll– Obama and Edwards both lead McCain in Iowa, but HRC trails him 43-37. Same goes for Rudy– Obama and Edwards both beat him, HRC trails. For those interested, the whole poll is here.
A lot of the head-to-heads are within the margin of error, but the Obama and Edwards crowds have to be thrilled. I wouldn’t be surprised if HRC announces and then does as her husband did– ignores Iowa and focuses mainly on New Hampshire. Nevada and South Carolina, both likely to favor Obama or Edwards over HRC, will put a serious wrinkle into her plans.
One caveat: HRC is different than other candidates we’ve seen. If she gets in, she will have a ton of cash, and can easily stay in the race despite early losses. Obama and Edwards will need to rely on early wins propelling their fund raising machines and providing much needed momentum.