Alright, I guess I’m the first one in the pool. Come on in, the water’s not that bad.
So we are just under 2 years away from Decision 2008, over a year away from the first Iowa caucuses, and the story continues to be who has already decided to get out of the race. We’ve already seen the early exit of the centrist Virginia governor, Mark Warner now Evan Bayh, the ex-governor and current senator from Indiana is also getting out before he even really got in.
From ABC News:
Democratic Sen. Evan Bayh of Indiana will not seek the presidency in 2008, saying he believes the odds of a successful run were too great to overcome.
“At the end of the day, I concluded that due to circumstances beyond our control the odds were longer than I felt I could responsibly pursue,” Bayh told the Indianapolis Star. “This path and these long odds would have required me to be essentially absent from the Senate for the next year instead of working to help the people of my state and the nation.”
While Bayh or Warner were not my first choice to be the nominee, I think this is a bad sign for the party. Bayh is a serious guy, with a ridiculous resume: he was a 2 term governor from a deep red state, and has served in the senate for two terms holding important positions on the Armed Services Committee as well as the Intelligence Committee. He’s not the world’s most dynamic speaker, but he is certainly a likable guy with a lot of gravitas. He obviously took a look at the early fundraising picture and must have been incredibly disheartened if he dropped out so soon. That means one of two things: 1- Either Hillary already has a cadre of powerful democratic money folks in her back pocket, or 2- the candidates realize that because of the ridiculous front-loading of the primary calendar, they need a ton of money to mount any sort of substantial campaign, and that amount of cash will be prohibitive to all but the best of candidates.
Who does Bayh’s exit benefit? Honestly, probably no one specifically. It helps the whole field because there’s more oxygen to go around, but it’s not like Bayh was taking votes from anyone.
Interesting that Edwards looks like he will announce imminently……and maybe in